COMMODITY NEWS AND TRADING LEVELS FOR 24TH MAY 2012

Commodity Trading Levels
COPPER (JUN) – Indian commodity futures market which witnessed rapid growth in trade volumes in the past few years has receded a bit in the first month of the current financial year (2012-13) with Forward Mraket Commission (FMC) data showing 10% decline. Expected resistance and support level for today trade are as follows:

TREND CONSOLIDATE

SUPPORT 1: 420.20
SUPPORT 2: 417.25

RESISTANCE 1: 430.70
RESISTANCE 2: 432.00

CRUDE OIL (JUN) – Bahrain oil production is expected to double to 100,000 barrels a day (bpd) from the current 50,000 bpd within five years, said Abdul-Hussain Ali Mirza, Bahrain’s energy minister. Expected resistance and support levels for the crude JUN contract are:

TREND CONSOLIDATE

SUPPORT 1: 4950
SUPPORT 2: 4880

RESISTANCE 1: 5170
RESISTANCE 2: 5305

GOLD (JUN)Gold is getting hit by both dollar strength and the weak demand, since last 2 days. Resistance and support levels for the today’s session for Gold JUN contract which will expire IN JUNE 2012 are:

TREND CONSOLIDATE

SUPPORT 1: 28827
SUPPORT 2: 28271

RESISTANCE 1: 29167
RESISTANCE 2: 29305

SILVER (JUL) Strengthening dollar is actually suppressing the white precious metal since last few sessions. Silver is Expected resistance and support levels for today trade are as follows:

TREND CONSOLIDATE

SUPPORT 1: 53170
SUPPORT 2: 52820

RESISTANCE 1: 55805
RESISTANCE 2: 56650

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Market Overview 


The steep hike in petrol prices has fuelled public outburst even as the move has sparked some hope on long-pending reforms. A petrol price hike is easier vis-à-vis other fuels. It remains to be seen whether the Government can do an encore as far as other fuels are concerned. That call is politically sensitive for UPA II, but given the elevated fuel subsidy bill it has little choice. What’s more, the Rupee’s sharp fall has more or less negated a steady decline in crude oil prices. Still, one must wait and watch as UPA II’s track record on reforms has been disappointing and some rollback is also anticipated.
The key stock indices are likely to rise at start. Asian markets are steady and US markets recovered smartly. European equities slid though, on persistent worries over the fate of Greece within the eurozone and its unpleasant impact on global economy. China’s provisional manufacturing PMI for May has come in weaker than April’s final print. The global backdrop is fragile but few more bold policy actions can nullify that. 

The Nifty is likely to remain in a narrow range of 4788-4860 and waiting for a breakout. The level of 4900 is likely to provide strong resistance if any intraday bounce back is seen. Trends on weekly chart is suggesting a probable trend reversal in 4th week of the May. 

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